With Torben's permission, I'd like to quote from his post:
Here are some numbers to see how you are doing on the trail. The average slope on the trail is about 15%. But the first section to the Picnic Tables and the last section from the traverse to the Crest are both 24% [that means for every 100 feet forward the trail climbs 24 ft]
The trip from Museum to the crest of the trail as you enter Long Valley is about 9.8 miles which we will count as 100%.
The distances to various landmarks are roughly:
8% Picnic tables
49% Cairn at 4,300 ft
80% Flat Rock
92% Gateway to traverse [long burned log hangs over the trail]
If you memorize those numbers, you will have a good idea of how far you have come and how far to go.
Your time to the Cairn should be about SIX times your time to the picnic tables. So if you are at the picnic tables in 40 minutes, you should be at the Cairn in 6*40=240 minutes or 4 hours
Your time to Flat Rock should be about TEN times your time to the picnic tables. So if you took 50 minutes to get to the Picnic Tables you should be at Flat Rock in 10*50=500 minutes or 8 hours and 20 minutes.
The time from Flat Rock to the Crest is ONE QUARTER of your total time to Flat Rock. So if you were at Flat Rock in say 8 hours you have an additional 2 hours to go.
and a quote from Cy
My time is as follows -
Picnic Tables - 800 ft gain in one mile - 35 minutes
Cairn at 4300 ft - 3800 gain in 5 miles - 3 hours 30 minutes
Flatrock at 5900 ft - 5500 ft gain in 9 miles - 6 hours
Long Valley - 8200 ft gain in 11 miles - 8 hours.
To help first timers estimate their time, could others post their condition, time of year and time(s) if known for your hike up?
I've seen wonderful information put up by the people on this board but it is scattered over many topics.
