by Ed » Tue Feb 09, 2016 10:49 am
I suspect that under current conditions you are more likely to collide with a rock or tree than have an avalanche. But after another good storm, layering soft snow over this base, avalanche danger will probably be very high on Snow Creek. And a high percentage of avalanches are started by the victim or his companions, as you probably know.
Have you done the Snow Creek route? I did, in April 1977. The route had avalanched after a recent storm, so we naively thought it was safe. There was avalanche debris on the sides, and the surface of the snow was scoured. Several hundred feet short of the ridge we discovered the avalanche had started there, not at the top. We found ourselves swimming in snow up to our thighs, with the worst signs of avalanche danger, snow sliding down in both balls and rivulets. One of the worst situations I've ever been in, and one of several bone-chilling avalanche situations. I remember thinking, this won't do, being killed by an avalanche in sight of Palm Springs. If it had avalanched, no amount of avalanche skills or equipment would have saved us.
The following winter I was somewhere above Tamarack Valley when the snow began making the tell-tale whumpf!whumpf! sound. That was a no-brainer for me, with the avalanche experiences I had, we turned around and headed for the tram station, with our tails between our legs but no sense of shame.